Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.286381 0.339755 0.404075 0.488466 0.598067 0.738186 0.935269
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.237065 0.312150 0.416969 0.580297 0.841262 1.268272 2.087092
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.194489 0.275635 0.401784 0.626852 1.056629 1.948011 4.366807
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.161345 0.241001 0.375022 0.640682 1.229632 2.751820 8.797454
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.135522 0.210317 0.343771 0.630834 1.350630 3.621607 17.261671
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.120677 0.194188 0.333001 0.657078 1.583104 5.271264 45.917831
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.105164 0.173400 0.307334 0.638619 1.681615 6.704836 113.112379
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.095371 0.161268 0.295967 0.650542 1.895926 9.487400 537.516681
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.085942 0.148124 0.279239 0.641681 2.034377 12.547429 5405.214370
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.079799 0.140466 0.272903 0.660066 2.316438 18.946392 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.075191 0.135174 0.270792 0.690970 2.712160 31.745097 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.070662 0.129330 0.266044 0.711892 3.103036 53.863666 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.066695 0.124268 0.262564 0.738007 3.606506 105.149935 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.062918 0.119123 0.257897 0.758917 4.150176 229.926083 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.059311 0.113882 0.251942 0.772930 4.706476 585.502589 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055619 0.107977 0.243016 0.771099 5.142698 1648.469290 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051821 0.101389 0.230989 0.750954 5.360699 4685.949816 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049752 0.098695 0.229822 0.781004 6.346850 525235.376508 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.046546 0.092884 0.218349 0.756626 6.525723 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.044539 0.089824 0.214777 0.771112 7.441656 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.042157 0.085587 0.206863 0.759823 7.905861 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.040665 0.083448 0.205255 0.782802 9.272915 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.039551 0.082156 0.206172 0.821628 11.436450 NaN NaN